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Czas realizacji w zarządzaniu lańcuchem dostaw w produkcji addytywnej
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ISBN10: 6630413970
ISBN13: 9786630413977
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Pages: 72
Weight: 0.24
Height: 0.17 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
ISBN13: 9786630413977
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Pages: 72
Weight: 0.24
Height: 0.17 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
W niniejszej książce omówiono niezdolnośc konwencjonalnych systemów ERP i MRP do dokladnego obliczania czasów realizacji w lańcuchach dostaw w dziedzinie produkcji addytywnej (AM). Stale, deterministyczne parametry czasu realizacji - zaprojektowane z myślą o stabilnej, tradycyjnej produkcji - systematycznie zawodzą w środowiskach AM, gdzie czasy produkcji różnią się w zależności od geometrii części, obróbka końcowa jest wysoce zmienna, dostępnośc maszyn ma charakter stochastyczny, a pozyskiwanie specjalistycznych materialów wiąże się z dlugimi i niepewnymi czasami realizacji. W ramach badań opracowano pięciofazową taksonomię czasów realizacji w AM, obejmującą etapy przedprodukcyjne, kolejkę maszyn, produkcję, przerwy w trakcie procesu oraz obróbkę końcową, a następnie stworzono AM-SCM Lead Time Computation Framework (AMLTCF) - modulowy model stochastyczny generujący pelne rozklady prawdopodobieństwa czasów realizacji zamiast punktowych oszacowań. Model AMLTCF, zweryfikowany na podstawie studiów przypadków z branży lotniczej, urządzeń medycznych i dóbr konsumpcyjnych, zmniejsza bląd prognozowania czasu realizacji z 22-39% (wartośc bazowa systemu ERP) do 7-12%, umożliwiając dokladne dotrzymywanie zobowiązań wobec klientów, optymalizację harmonogramów oraz zmniejszenie zapasów bezpieczeństwa. Modele uczenia maszynowego (XGBoost, LSTM) dodatkowo poprawiają dokladnośc prognozowania, gdy dostępne są wystarczające dane historyczne.
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