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Plausible Risk of the Leaning Tower of Pisa: An Evidence Theory-based Approach to Uncertainty
Paperback
Technology & EngineeringGeneral Design
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ISBN13: 9798248584024
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Feb 16 2026
Pages: 170
Weight: 0.62
Height: 0.36 Width: 6.69 Depth: 9.61
Language: English
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Feb 16 2026
Pages: 170
Weight: 0.62
Height: 0.36 Width: 6.69 Depth: 9.61
Language: English
The Leaning Tower of Pisa is not just a historical icon, but also a unique laboratory for engineering and geotechnics. This book explores its nature as a Slow Event-an instability that evolves gradually through minute rotations, groundwater fluctuations, and subsurface transformations, all intensified by recent climate change.
By adopting the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence, the author introduces the concept of plausible risk, analyzing future scenarios and evaluating the Tower's behavior over 100-300 year horizons. The text presents the probabilistic pendulum model and proposes an estimate for the Maximum Plausible Risk threshold, beyond which the historical 300-year stability guarantee could lapse.
Integrating history, consolidation interventions, geotechnical analysis, and climate data, this volume offers a rigorous, multidisciplinary perspective. It is an essential guide for engineers, geotechnicians, risk researchers, students, and science enthusiasts, showing how the Tower continues to defy both gravity and uncertainty.
Integrating history, consolidation interventions, geotechnical analysis, and climate data, this volume offers a rigorous, multidisciplinary perspective. It is an essential guide for engineers, geotechnicians, risk researchers, students, and science enthusiasts, showing how the Tower continues to defy both gravity and uncertainty.
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