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Piloter l'incertain: Management de l'innovation et des projets complexes à l'ère de l'IA
Paperback
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: May 1 2026
Pages: 346
Weight: 1.22
Height: 0.72 Width: 6.69 Depth: 9.61
Language: French
En 2026, Gartner annonce que 40 % des applications enterprise embarqueront des agents IA. L'OWASP publie son Top 10 Agentic. Le PMBOK 8 sort enfin son appendice IA - trois ans trop tard. Pendant ce temps, 70 % des projets échouent toujours, les comités de pilotage dorment, les sponsors changent d'avis tous les trimestres, et les plans Gantt mentent comme ils mentaient en 1995.
Piloter l'incertain est le manuel que Kevin Condor aurait voulu trouver à la sortie de son Master. Un livre de praticien, pas de professeur. Écrit pour les chefs de projet, entrepreneurs, cadres et indépendants qui livrent vraiment - dans un monde où les règles bougent plus vite que les méthodes.
Ce que vous allez apprendre:- Classer un projet avec Cynefin - simple, compliqué, complexe, chaotique. Pourquoi confondre compliqué et complexe tue les projets. Les zones liminales de Snowden.
- Du VUCA au BANI - pourquoi la résilience ne suffit plus. Introduction à l'antifragilité de Taleb appliquée au pilotage.
- Choisir un cadre sans dogmatisme - Waterfall, Agile, Hybrid, Stage-Gate TD de Cooper, Lean Startup, Design Thinking, PMBOK 8, Prince2, Scrum, SAFe. Ce qui marche. Ce qui est théâtre.
- Les cadres européens que les manuels anglo-saxons ignorent - C-K (École des Mines), effectuation (Sarasvathy), options réelles. Contrôler au lieu de prédire.
- Estimer l'inestimable - PERT revisité, Monte Carlo léger sans logiciel dédié, paris calibrés (Tetlock, Kahneman). Distributions, pas chiffres.
- Risques, prémortem, cygnes noirs - pourquoi les matrices probabilité × impact ratent l'essentiel. Identifier ce qu'on ne sait pas qu'on ne sait pas.
- IA copilote vs IA agent - taxonomie concrète 2026. Ce qui marche (ChatGPT, Claude, Copilot), ce qui hallucine, ce qui est vaporware.
- Prompt engineering pour chefs de projet - templates opérationnels: charte projet, analyse de risques, CR, one-pager exécutif, préparation de comité. Chain of thought, few-shot, role prompting.
- Gouvernance des agents IA - OWASP Top 10 Agentic appliqué. Quelle action un agent peut prendre seul, laquelle exige validation humaine. AIRI (AWS), Agent Governance Toolkit (Microsoft).
- Survivre à un sponsor impossible - cartographie d'influence, coalitions, sabotages. La vraie vie du chef de projet qu'aucun manuel ne décrit.
- Annoncer l'échec - pourquoi la franchise coûte moins cher que le camouflage. Techniques de communication de crise appliquées au projet.
Trois angles différenciants: une IA intégrée à tous les chapitres (pas reléguée en appendice comme dans le PMBOK 8); les cadres européens que les best-sellers anglo-saxons ne couvrent pas; une posture réaliste qui assume la politique interne, les sponsors instables et les budgets coupés.
Écrit par un entrepreneur et consultant qui pilote depuis dix ans des projets technologiques, de transformation et d'intelligence économique. Adossé à plus de sept cents références vérifiées - PMI, Gartner, OWASP, CLTC Berkeley, McKinsey, Taleb, Snowden, Hatchuel, Sarasvathy, Cooper, Kahneman, Duke, Tetlock, Christensen.
Un manuel pour ceux qui livrent. Pas un traité pour ceux qui enseignent.
400 pages - 5 parties - 24 chapitres + prologue + épilogue - 4 annexes (glossaire, outils 2026, bibliographie commentée, OWASP Top 10 Agentic AI)
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