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Contract Over Target Baseline Effect on Earned Value Management's Cost Performance Index

Contract Over Target Baseline Effect on Earned Value Management's Cost Performance Index

Hardcover

Business GeneralManagementTechnology & Engineering

ISBN10: 1025124529
ISBN13: 9781025124520
Publisher: Hutson Street Press
Published: May 22 2025
Pages: 58
Weight: 0.58
Height: 0.25 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

Cost growth is a problem in U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) acquisitions. A particular component of cost growth is a cost overrun or Over Target Baseline (OTB). In 2009, Trahan found that the Gompertz growth curve better predicted program Estimates at Completion (EAC) for OTB contracts. In 2010, Thickstun studied the relationships between overruns and a variety of factors, but found OTB occurrences random and questioned the benefit of the OTB process (Thickstun, 2010). In this research, we study OTB's ability to effect improved program cost performance; we examine OTB's effect on the cumulative Cost Performance Index (CPI) slope after an OTB intervention. We find there is no statistically significant change in cumulative CPI slope after OTB. For the data studied, an OTB investment does not significantly improve management's ability to earn cost value as reflected in the cumulative CPI slope.

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Jack, Dennis E.

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Business General