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Méthodes mathématiques et statistiques pour l'évaluation économique: De l'incertitude à la décision défendable
Paperback
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Jul 4 2026
Pages: 456
Weight: 1.15
Height: 0.92 Width: 5.50 Depth: 8.50
Language: French
L'une des matières les plus essentielles à toutes celles et ceux qui décident pour notre système de santé et pour notre société reste étrangement inaccessible: soit à cause d'un langage inutilement technique, soit faute d'une communication intuitive. Comme c'est de l'évaluation économique qu'il s'agit, l'auteur propose un livre qui réconcilie enfin la rigueur et la clarté.
Le point de départ est une vérité dérangeante. En évaluation économique, la faute la plus fréquente n'est pas de mal calculer: c'est de calculer parfaitement la mauvaise chose. Un modèle impeccable nourri de données biaisées produit une recommandation d'une précision trompeuse. Apprendre à repérer ce piège, et à s'en garder, voilà ce que cet ouvrage enseigne.
De la théorie de la décision aux méthodes bayésiennes, de la mesure des coûts à l'analyse de survie, de la modélisation à la valeur de l'information, chaque notion est définie à sa première apparition, illustrée, puis rendue intuitive. Un fil conducteur unique, l'évaluation d'un médicament, relie les vingt-six chapitres: les mêmes chiffres circulent d'un bout à l'autre du livre, sans jamais se contredire, si bien que la théorie se voit à l'oeuvre à chaque page.
Douze figures commentées éclairent les résultats; chaque chapitre se clôt sur une section d'objections et de réponses qui vous arme pour défendre une analyse, ou pour démonter celle des autres.
Profond sans être aride, exigeant sans jamais perdre son lecteur, ce traité s'adresse aux étudiants, aux chercheurs, aux évaluateurs et aux décideurs, à quiconque veut comprendre comment se prend, vraiment, une décision de santé.
Un livre pour penser juste, et décider mieux.
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