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612-822-4611
Probability Weather Forecasts: For the Army?

Probability Weather Forecasts: For the Army?

Paperback

Technology & EngineeringGeneral EducationProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 1249284821
ISBN13: 9781249284826
Publisher: Biblioscholar
Published: Aug 24 2012
Pages: 112
Weight: 0.37
Height: 0.23 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing categorical forecasts with probability forecasts in order to enhance decision making by Army commanders. To this end, the advantages and limitations of probability forecasts are reviewed. The principal conclusion of this study is that Army commanders would benefit from receiving probability weather forecasts. Finally, several recommendations for smoothing the conversion are given and a briefing that a Staff Weather Officer can use as a basis for showing an Army commander the utility of probability forecasts is provided.

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