Open Daily: 10am - 10pm | Alley door pickup 10am - 7pm 3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
612-822-4611

  • Open Daily: 10am - 10pm
    Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm

    3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
    612-822-4611

Open Daily: 10am - 10pm | Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm
3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
612-822-4611
Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Fagan, Brennen
Horwood, Ian
MacKay, Niall

Paperback

Series: Asa-CRC Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society

General MathematicsMilitary StrategyProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 1138592382
ISBN13: 9781138592384
Publisher: Crc Pr Inc
Published: Sep 27 2023
Pages: 228
Weight: 0.62
Height: 0.51 Width: 5.50 Depth: 8.50
Language: English

Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications.

1 different editions

Also available

Also in

General Mathematics

View All