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Probability and Evidence

Probability and Evidence

Paperback

Series: Cambridge Studies in Philosophy

PhilosophyHistory & Philosophy of Science

ISBN10: 0521283361
ISBN13: 9780521283366
Publisher: Cambridge
Published: Jun 16 2011
Pages: 158
Weight: 0.46
Height: 0.37 Width: 5.50 Depth: 8.50
Language: English
In this volume, which was originally published in 1982, Paul Horwich presents a clear and unified approach to a number of problems in the philosophy of science. He diagnoses the failure of other attempts to resolve them as stemming from a too-rigid, all-or-nothing conception of belief, and adopts instead a Bayesian strategy, emphasising the degree of confidence to which we are entitled the light of scientific evidence. This probabilistic approach, he argues, yields a more complete understanding of the assumptions and procedures characteristic of scientific reasoning. It also accounts for the merits of simplicity, severe tests and surprising predictions, and provides a way in which the dispute between the realist and instrumentalist views of science might be resolved. The result is a crisp, well-focused contribution to the philosophy of science. The elaboration of an important conception of probability will stimulate anyone with an interest in the field.

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