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  • Open Daily: 10am - 10pm
    Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm

    3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
    612-822-4611

Open Daily: 10am - 10pm | Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm
3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
612-822-4611
The Longevity Argument: The Doomsday Argument is wrong, and logical induction has a philosophical basis.

The Longevity Argument: The Doomsday Argument is wrong, and logical induction has a philosophical basis.

Pisaturo, Ronald

Paperback

Philosophy

ISBN10: 1532847416
ISBN13: 9781532847417
Publisher: Createspace
Published: May 8 2016
Pages: 92
Weight: 0.30
Height: 0.19 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: English
The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta t argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future, published in Philosophy of Science (January 2009), often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal in its field. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: Journal of Philosophy, Analysis, Synthese, and Ratio.

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