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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century

Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century

Paperback

Series: Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision The

Sports GeneralGeneral MathematicsProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 0521037549
ISBN13: 9780521037549
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: Jul 12 2007
Pages: 276
Weight: 0.90
Height: 0.62 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: English
This book is a study of the concept of probability as it has been used and applied across a number of scientific disciplines from genetics to geophysics. Probability has a dual aspect: sometimes it is a numerical ratio; sometimes, in the Bayesian interpretation, a degree of belief. David Howie examines probabilistic theories of scientific knowledge, and asks how, despite being adopted by many scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through a close examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations of probability is not forced by pure logic, or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved, and their views of the correct form of scientific inquiry.

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