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Die Entscheidungsrelevanz Von Managementprognosen: Eine Verhaltensökonomische Und Empirische Analyse Des Deutschen Kapitalmarktes
Paperback
Series: Auditing and Accounting Studies
AccountingInvesting & FinanceManagement
ISBN13: 9783658059057
Publisher: Springer Gabler
Published: May 26 2014
Pages: 306
Weight: 0.97
Height: 0.75 Width: 5.83 Depth: 8.27
Language: German
Aktienkurse gelten als repräsentativ für den 'wahren' Wert von Unternehmen, da sie der aggregierten Markterwartung bezüglich aller zukünftigen Renditen entsprechen. So plausibel dieser Zusammenhang in der Theorie ist, so komplex und undurchsichtig können die Mechanismen der Preisbildung in der Realität erscheinen, zumal die Markterwartung per se nicht explizit messbar ist. Thilo Helpenstein leistet einen Erklärungsbeitrag zum besseren Verständnis der Erwartungsbildung des Marktes sowie dessen Reaktion bei Nichterfüllung von Erwartungen. Er verwendet regulierte Managmentprognosen als innovatives Surrogat der Markterwartung und analysiert die Wirkung von Ergebnisüberraschungen unter Berücksichtigung verhaltensökonomischer Erkenntnisse. Der Autor zeigt auf, wie Kapitalmarktteilnehmer auf Managementprognosen reagieren und welche Implikationen sich hieraus für Manager, Anleger und Regulatoren ableiten lassen.
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