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Forward-Looking Decision Making: Dynamic-Programming Models Applied to Health, Risk, Employment, and Financial Stability

Forward-Looking Decision Making: Dynamic-Programming Models Applied to Health, Risk, Employment, and Financial Stability

Hardcover

Series: Gorman Lectures in Economics, Book 3

EconomicsInvesting & FinanceGeneral Mathematics

ISBN10: 0691142424
ISBN13: 9780691142425
Publisher: Princeton Univ Pr
Published: Feb 28 2010
Pages: 152
Weight: 0.70
Height: 0.70 Width: 5.50 Depth: 8.50
Language: English

Individuals and families make key decisions that impact many aspects of financial stability and determine the future of the economy. These decisions involve balancing current sacrifice against future benefits. People have to decide how much to invest in health care, exercise, their diet, and insurance. They must decide how much debt to take on, and how much to save. And they make choices about jobs that determine employment and unemployment levels. Forward-Looking Decision Making is about modeling this individual or family-based decision making using an optimizing dynamic programming model.

Robert Hall first reviews ideas about dynamic programs and introduces new ideas about numerical solutions and the representation of solved models as Markov processes. He surveys recent research on the parameters of preferences--the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, the Frisch elasticity of labor supply, and the Frisch cross-elasticity. He then examines dynamic programming models applied to health spending, long-term care insurance, employment, entrepreneurial risk-taking, and consumer debt.

Linking theory with data and applying them to real-world problems, Forward-Looking Decision Making uses dynamic optimization programming models to shed light on individual behaviors and their economic implications.

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Economics