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A variação do fluxo lÃquido de capitais como causa da instabilidade macroeconómica
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ISBN10: 6208743761
ISBN13: 9786208743765
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Mar 14 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
ISBN13: 9786208743765
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Mar 14 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
Ao realizar uma análise teórica, um apanhado histórico e uma investigação empÃrica para verificar se variações no fluxo lÃquido de capitais podem causar fragilidade econômica - e crise, no pior dos casos - nas economias latino-americanas (Brasil, Chile e México), o presente estudo concluiu que o capital flui dos paÃses desenvolvidos, ou exportadores de capital, para as economias em desenvolvimento para tentar obter um melhor retorno na relação risco potencial versus taxa de retorno esperada. Assim, as recentes crises na América Latina não resultaram de variações lÃquidas dos fluxos de capitais, mas sim do facto de os capitais disponÃveis nos mercados internacionais terem sido utilizados para financiar o consumo e não para construir um ambiente económico consistente. A má utilização dos capitais conduziu a um ambiente económico caracterizado por polÃticas de sobre-endividamento e taxas de câmbio reais apreciadas, sob a sombra de um sistema bancário fraco. Com base nos resultados da análise econométrica, concluÃmos que: i. a fragilidade macroeconómica é devida ao desempenho macroeconómico; e, ii. os controlos de capitais podem ser estabelecidos por paÃses que liberalizam as suas contas de capitais como forma de proteger a economia.
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