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La variation des flux nets de capitaux comme cause d'instabilité macroéconomique
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ISBN10: 6208743737
ISBN13: 9786208743734
Publisher: Editions Notre Savoir
Published: Mar 14 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
ISBN13: 9786208743734
Publisher: Editions Notre Savoir
Published: Mar 14 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
En menant une analyse théorique, un aperçu historique et une enquête empirique afin de vérifier si les variations des flux nets de capitaux peuvent entraîner une fragilité économique - et une crise dans le pire des cas - dans les économies latino-américaines (Brésil, Chili et Mexique), la présente étude a conclu que les flux de capitaux des pays développés, ou exportateurs de capitaux, vers les économies en développement afin d'essayer d'obtenir un meilleur rendement dans la relation entre le risque potentiel et le taux de rendement escompté. Ainsi, les récentes crises en Amérique latine n'ont pas été le résultat de variations nettes des flux de capitaux, mais du fait que les capitaux disponibles sur les marchés internationaux ont été utilisés pour financer la consommation et non pour construire un environnement économique cohérent, la mauvaise utilisation des capitaux a conduit à un environnement économique caractérisé par des politiques de surendettement et des taux de change réels appréciés sous l'ombre d'un système bancaire faible. Sur la base des résultats de l'analyse économétrique, nous avons conclu que: i. la fragilité macroéconomique est due à la performance macroéconomique; et, ii. les contrôles de capitaux peuvent être mis en place par les pays qui libéralisent leurs comptes de capitaux comme moyen de protéger l'économie.
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