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Bayesian Decision Analysis

Bayesian Decision Analysis

Hardcover

General MathematicsProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 0521764548
ISBN13: 9780521764544
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: Sep 23 2010
Pages: 348
Weight: 1.80
Height: 0.90 Width: 6.90 Depth: 9.70
Language: English
Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.

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Probability & Statistics