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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas

Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas

Paperback

EconomicsGeneral Political Science

ISBN10: 0881322784
ISBN13: 9780881322781
Publisher: Peterson Inst For Intl Economi
Published: Jun 1 2000
Pages: 456
Weight: 1.33
Height: 0.83 Width: 5.99 Depth: 8.97
Language: English
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden--and possibly nuclear-armed--totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and muddling through in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.

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