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Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies

Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies

Paperback

Series: Methodos, Book 17

General SociologyImmigration & Refugees

ISBN10: 3030830411
ISBN13: 9783030830410
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published: Dec 10 2021
Pages: 263
Weight: 0.91
Height: 0.61 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

Part I: Preliminaries: Chapter 1. Introduction.- Chapter 2. Uncertainty and complexity: towards model-based demography.- Part II: Elements of the modelling process.- Chapter 3. Principles and state of the art of agent-based migration modelling.- Chapter 4. Building a knowledge base for the model.- Chapter 5. Uncertainty quantification, model calibration and sensitivity.- Chapter 6. The boundaries of cognition and decision making.- Chapter 7. Agent-based modelling and simulation with domain-specific languages.- Part III: Model results, applications, and reflections.- Chapter 8. Towards more realistic models.- Chapter 9. Bayesian model-based approach: impact on science and policy.- Chapter 10. Open science, replicability, and transparency in modelling.- Chapter 11. Conclusions: towards a Bayesian modelling process.

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