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Wzrost a Stabilnośc - Czy BCEAO Może Pogodzic Obie Te Kwestie?
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ISBN10: 6630014766
ISBN13: 9786630014761
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Sep 14 2026
Pages: 164
Weight: 0.50
Height: 0.38 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
ISBN13: 9786630014761
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Sep 14 2026
Pages: 164
Weight: 0.50
Height: 0.38 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
Czy unia walutowa zaprojektowana z myślą o stabilności może naprawdę przynieśc рост, jakiego żąda jej ludnośc? Od trzydziestu pięciu lat BCEAO zakotwicza UEMOA w stalym parytecie, kontrolowanej inflacji i ścislej dyscyplinie rezerw, podczas gdy wzrost z trudem trwale odpowiada na potencjal demograficzny regionu. Praca ta przeksztalca ten pozorny kompromis w kwestię empiryczną, a nie tylko polityczną.Na podstawie modelowania Panel VAR zastosowanego do systemów bankowych UEMOA na przestrzeni trzech dekad, analiza wykazuje, że transmisja polityki pieniężnej jest strukturalnie heterogeniczna: przelożenie stóp procentowych różni się w zależności od kraju, wielkości banków, ich akcjonariatu i profilu plynności. Ta heterogenicznośc, bardziej niż sam parytet, wyjaśnia dużą częśc deficytu wzrostu przypisywanego wylącznie dyscyplinie monetarystycznej.Z tej diagnozy wynika strategia oparta na trzech filarach: wzmocnionej transmisji, strukturalnej reformie kredytowej oraz trwalości budżetowo-klimatycznej kompatybilnej z sztywnym kursem walutowym. Daje to rzetelną i możliwą do wdrożenia odpowiedź na dylemat zawarty w tytule tej publikacji.
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