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The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

Paperback

Series: Science Studies

Technology & EngineeringGeneral SociologyHistory & Philosophy of Science

ISBN10: 3837653196
ISBN13: 9783837653199
Publisher: Transcript Verlag
Published: Jan 19 2021
Pages: 264
Weight: 0.79
Height: 0.56 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: English
What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research. Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.

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General Sociology