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The Odds of War A calculus of probabilities: Part I General introduction
Paperback
Series: Odins Urne, Book 1
DatabasesGeneral Political ScienceGeneral World History
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ISBN13: 9798246622247
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Feb 2 2026
Pages: 166
Weight: 0.51
Height: 0.35 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: English
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Feb 2 2026
Pages: 166
Weight: 0.51
Height: 0.35 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: English
The first part of the six-part study on the origins of wars presents the system and methodology of applied history.
64 parameters are discussed that either lead to wars or have a peacekeeping effect.
This is followed by a presentation of the calculation of the nominal and real expected value, which assigns a percentage probability to each war based on its specific parameters.
64 parameters are discussed that either lead to wars or have a peacekeeping effect.
This is followed by a presentation of the calculation of the nominal and real expected value, which assigns a percentage probability to each war based on its specific parameters.
Past wars can be explained using the model presented, and future wars can be predicted.
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