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Long-Term Modeled Projections of the Energy Sector: An Incremental Approach to Narrowing Down the Uncertainty Range

Long-Term Modeled Projections of the Energy Sector: An Incremental Approach to Narrowing Down the Uncertainty Range

Paperback

Series: Springer Geophysics

Business GeneralTechnology & EngineeringGeneral Science

ISBN10: 303030535X
ISBN13: 9783030305352
Publisher: Springer
Published: Aug 26 2021
Pages: 98
Weight: 0.38
Height: 0.24 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

This book covers available approaches to improving the performance and impact of long-term projections of the national energy sector development. In turn, it introduces an original multi-stage approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range of the input data and resulting projections. Its unique contribution is that it limits the scope for each of the projection timeframe segments step-by-step. This is done in the course of iterative calculations, which employ dedicated methods and other tools to elucidate and solve top-priority problems specific to each time segment. In closing, the book provides a detailed treatment of two essential research problems: 1) long-term forecasting for regional energy markets, and 2) the quantitative assessment of a) the barriers that are likely to hinder energy sector development and b) strategic-level energy security threats.

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