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Guerra di Margini: Modello economico-matematico dell'allocazione strategica, del costo di campagna e della produzione avversaria di scarsitÃ
Paperback
Series: Geopolitica Di Un Mondo in Cambiamento, Book 6
General Political ScienceInternational Relations
Publisher: Independently Published
Published: Sep 4 2026
Pages: 460
Weight: 2.33
Height: 0.93 Width: 8.50 Depth: 11.00
Language: Italian
Guerra di margini - Modello economico-matematico dell'allocazione strategica, del costo di campagna
e della produzione avversaria di scarsitÃ
La contabilità misura i flussi finanziari; la teoria strategica misura il costo d'opportunità del capitale nazionale. Quando conviene iniziare una guerra? Quando è razionale localizzarla delegando il conflitto ad attori locali? E quando, dal punto di vista dell'ottimizzazione delle risorse, la scelta corretta non è vincere, ma fermarsi?
Guerra di margini stabilisce un nuovo standard analitico nel conflict economics e nell'analisi strategica, fornendo un modello quantitativo rigoroso per calcolare le soglie decisionali che governano queste opzioni. Trattando la campagna militare come un processo di investimento dinamico vincolato dalla scarsità , l'autore formalizza le condizioni esatte sotto le quali l'impiego della potenza soddisfa i criteri di convenienza, dimostrando come la scelta bellica sia in costante competizione con la struttura finanziaria, tecnologica e industriale dello Stato.
Il modello affronta in primo luogo il punto di innesco del conflitto, valutando il rendimento atteso della potenza rispetto al costo d'opportunità del capitale nazionale distolto da altri settori. Successivamente, formalizza le condizioni in cui l'esternalizzazione della guerra ad attori locali riduce il prezzo ombra e ottimizza l'allocazione del capitale del patron. Il testo analizza poi il costo reale della vittoria, integrando l'effetto dell'apprendimento, l'adattamento del nemico, la congestione logistica e il consumo progressivo degli stock. Infine, definisce i parametri di disimpegno, dimostrando come l'uscita o la rinuncia alla vittoria totale costituiscano precise tecnologie di allocazione strategica.
Il volume è uno strumento di modellizzazione e supporto decisionale destinato a ufficiali di Stato Maggiore, analisti della difesa, decisori pubblici, diplomatici e docenti di economia della difesa e studi strategici.
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