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Le tsunami arabe
Paperback
Series: Documents
ISBN13: 9782213666204
Publisher: Fayard
Published: Nov 2 2011
Pages: 384
Weight: 0.94
Height: 0.80 Width: 5.32 Depth: 8.47
Language: French
De quoi ces révoltes et leurs conséquences inattendues sont-elles annonciatrices ? S'agit-il d'un désordre, d'une régression ou d'un changement profond ? Combien de temps faudra-t-il aux nouvelles élites pour créer, dans le monde arabe, une gouvernance démocratique viable ? En attendant, quels sont les vrais risques de guerre civile ou d'instauration d'un émirat islamique Et comme vont réagir les trois voisins: l'Iran, la Turquie et Israël ?
Comme un tsunami, les révolutions arabes ont des causes lointaines, structurelles, qu'il faut identifier et hiérarchiser. Elles ont aussi une telle part d'impondérable, aujourd'hui comme demain, qu'il faut ausculter en permanence ces pays, comme Antoine Basbous, pour les comprendre et les faire comprendre.
Antoine Basbous est fondateur et directeur de l'Observatoire des pays arabes, qui, depuis vingt ans, fournit en analyses les plus grandes sociétés et les gouvernements européens. A partir d'informations - souvent confidentielles - recueillies de Tripoli à Téhéran, Antoine Basbous a écrit une radioscopie qui fera date. Il a publié notamment L'Arabie Saoudite en question.
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