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La Frontière de la Science du Climat: Variabilité solaire, cycles naturels et incertitude des modèles
Paperback
Environmental StudiesHistory & Philosophy of Science
Publisher: Complexity Insight Press
Published: May 19 2026
Pages: 548
Weight: 2.25
Height: 1.49 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: French
Combien comprenons-nous vraiment le climat de la Terre?
Quelles forces naturelles échappent encore à notre compréhension?
Le NetZero est-il vraiment la seule voie possible pour l'avenir?
La Frontière de la science du climat explore la dynamique climatique à travers la physique, les systèmes complexes et l'astronomie, en synthétisant plusieurs décennies de recherche évaluée par les pairs. L'ouvrage examine de manière critique les fondements scientifiques de la théorie climatique moderne, l'évolution des évaluations du GIEC et les limites des modèles climatiques globaux (GCM) lorsqu'ils sont confrontés aux observations. Il analyse la variabilité naturelle à de multiples échelles temporelles, notamment les oscillations océaniques, la variabilité solaire et les cycles astronomiques qui influencent à la fois l'activité solaire et la variabilité climatique, en intégrant des données satellitaires, des reconstructions paléoclimatiques et des approches de modélisation empirique. Il se dégage de cet ensemble de preuves une vision équilibrée du risque climatique, privilégiant une adaptation pragmatique plutôt que des trajectoires politiques rigides comme celle du NetZero. Riche en analyses et en perspectives, ce livre aide les lecteurs à comprendre la variabilité climatique, à évaluer les risques, à développer une pensée critique et à explorer les principales questions encore ouvertes de la science du climat.
Le volume est soutenu par l'International Association for Gondwana Research (IAGR) et par le Centro di Ricerca Previsione, Prevenzione e Controllo dei Rischi Geologici (CERI) de l'Université Sapienza de Rome. Il comprend des préfaces du Prof. M. Santosh, du Prof. Alberto Prestininzi et de la Prof. Judith Curry. Ces contributions soulignent la pertinence scientifique de l'ouvrage et l'inscrivent dans le paysage plus large de la recherche climatique contemporaine.
Cet ouvrage synthétise les résultats de plus de 650 articles scientifiques évalués par les pairs à la pointe de la science du climat. En rassemblant un corpus de preuves aussi vaste, le livre constitue une référence faisant autorité pour les bibliothèques universitaires, les institutions de recherche et les spécialistes recherchant une analyse rigoureuse et fondée sur les données de la variabilité climatique et de l'incertitude des modèles. L'étendue de sa couverture et la clarté de sa méthodologie en font une ressource précieuse pour chercheurs, enseignants et institutions en sciences du système terrestre. Par ailleurs, l'ouvrage demeure accessible aux lecteurs non spécialistes désireux d'approfondir leur compréhension de la dynamique climatique et des débats scientifiques contemporains.
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