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  • Open Daily: 10am - 10pm
    Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm

    3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
    612-822-4611

Open Daily: 10am - 10pm | Alley-side Pickup: 10am - 7pm
3038 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN
612-822-4611
Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Bijak, Jakub
Wisniowski, Arkadiusz

Paperback

Series: The Springer Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, Book 24

General SociologyImmigration & RefugeesProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 940073395X
ISBN13: 9789400733954
Publisher: Springer
Published: Dec 1 2012
Pages: 316
Weight: 1.05
Height: 0.71 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English
International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.

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