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Developments in Demographic Forecasting

Developments in Demographic Forecasting

Hardcover

Series: The Springer Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, Book 49

General Sociology

ISBN10: 3030424715
ISBN13: 9783030424718
Publisher: Springer
Published: Sep 29 2020
Pages: 258
Weight: 1.22
Height: 0.63 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.

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General Sociology